16Table 1
seats

Closest: 6 seats live (4 posting); 4 one-miss rules with >= 150 winning blind bets (see soccer table)

Biggest obstacle: Owner rule: must win on Kalshi AND Polymarket

Closest: Statistical Main Card Experienced is SEATED (v5.1, Kalshi tickets); integrity written down 2026-10-03 (prices 1017/1017, look-ahead 2034/2034, engine B agrees). Live lane fixed 2026-10-04 (mma-lane-origins, mmalogic PR #61-63, hub #39/#41): 10-10 dry run 2 fires, both origins agree; /v51 live true; page note: blind 2015-19 is a backcast (constants tuned 2020-26). First live card Sat 2026-10-10 (Allen vs Duncan). Killed 2026-10-04 (mmalogic 758735ae): early drift (0/4 cells, -5.7% to -9.5% at the consensus open) and last-fight shape (0/10; best fade-off-KO-loss -1.27%). Fresh hunt 2026-10-04 (mmalogic c7ea83d1): nationality family rejected (fade_us dies blind); home_abroad (home fighter at a non-US card) listed Table 2 paper (proof p .0527 only; blind 0/150 forward from the 2026-10-04 freeze; leaked 2012-20 +9.61% n699 disclosed, never counted) — /v51 reads it clean 01:30Z after the iMac mmalogic checkout was fast-forwarded to c7ea83d1. Next untested: model-agnostic age gap (fightodds birthDate; blind 2012-14 only). Next: 3 Table 2 tracking rows (below) each need a two-engine replay

Biggest obstacle: Only 1 of 42 graded systems passes; the other 38 miss proof and holdout at the real open. Two-engine replay (`scripts/v51_engine_b.py`) is written for the seated filter only

Closest: Implied-team-total censoring killed on sealed 2014-25 2026-10-05 (EXP-113, Football 8c317b3; 2007-13 still unread by it). Next: /fresh-sports-idea-hunt nfl with a 2007-13 lineage grep first; or method 2 (re-mine NFL vocabularies NOT in EXP-110 rounds 3-6, blind 2007-13). Totals UNDER (no extra rest + home last under): passes v5.1, owner chose practice 2026-10-03; forward stamps from week 5. Next: `away_dproe_lo` BET (p .018, one-miss on book CLV p .10 — the nearest NFL miss yet), then `home_hc12` BET and `home_proe_lo` BET (CLV only); each needs venue CLV on >= 100 forward bets

Biggest obstacle: No unread past window left (2014-22: spreads 5 looks, totals 1 + 9 reads); 150 blind bets per PROE rule = 2.1-2.3 seasons (2028); no free real opening juice before 2014

Closest: 1 Table 1 seat live: CFB-REMINE-03 (criterion 2 corrected to 6/6 sealed, /v51 20:55Z 2026-10-04). CFB-V51-16: blind 37/150 at +5.87%. Next (cfb-ot-hangover close 2026-10-04, plan docs/plans/2026-10-04_cfb-v51-pcover-2011-13-plan.md): one past-window look at 2011-13 for the 14 pcover/edge paper rules (miss only holdout; ~380-620 projected blind bets each), pcover retrained walk-forward with the frozen code (ruling C). Killed 2026-10-04: overtime hangover (EXP-V51-31, 0/4), comeback / blown lead (EXP-V51-32, 0/4), and the 13 pcover paper rules (same-season calibration look-ahead; restate fails criterion 2; 2011-13 build dead on parity). H-LOOP-017 restored to paper (its HFA path never ran). Owner-supplied YoyoYoshi source EXHAUSTED 2026-10-04 (cfb 1e3ef43): realignment year-1 0/4, familiarity UNDER 1/4 (CLV +2.85% but ROI fails), recruiting vs baseline 0/4 + 1/4; blind never opened. Familiarity ATS killed 2026-10-04 (EXP-V51-37, home -1.16% 1/4, road -7.35%; cfb 6810554). Winless weeks 3-6 killed 2026-10-04 (EXP-V51-38, 0/4 all cells, ~vig; cfb eaf1594). Fresh hunt 2026-10-05 (cfb 3df6557): PGWE luck 0/24; prior gap (fade the team outplaying its prices, weeks 3-7) passed 3/4 sealed (+8.92% n 311, CLV miss) then its one 2011-13 look lost (-6.39% n 230) — dead; 2011-13 spent for the prior-gap atom in any market. REMINE-2 2026-10-05 (cfb f3de174): CFB-REMINE2-01 (opp_bowl_dead & opp_race_out & pick_lookback, sealed 262 +11.00%) lost its one 2011-13 look (-2.32% n 161) — dead; totals re-mine 0/96 pre-screen. Method 2 is out of vocabularies that reach 2011-13 (free play-by-play starts 2014). Owner sources 2026-10-05: fourth-data.com (stakes / off-FCS atoms EXP-V51-42, 0/8) and basedonactualmath.com (only A1 playoff leverage, 100% inside killed title_live — not run); censoring EXP-V51-43 dead (-4.3% / -4.6%). 2011-13 still unread for most atoms; any rule using opp_race_out may not use it. Next: /fresh-sports-idea-hunt cfb or the owner's next source.

Biggest obstacle: Real opening prices only 2014-16 and 2023+ (none 2017-22); free data only

Closest: 1 Table 1 seat live: Fade Overtime Hangover. Killed 2026-10-04 (icebreaker-ai 0ce40c9): last-game shape beyond OT, moneyline 0/84 and totals 0/36 (OT atoms excluded from 2008-19). SBR 2014-19 NHL opening totals are not real opens -> totals blind = 2008-10 only. Coach atoms on totals killed 2026-10-04 (0/20, icebreaker-ai 66cdfcd; coach feed left-censoring fixed). Schedule atoms on totals stopped at lineage 2026-10-04 (a859ba2): B2B / 3-in-4 / rest / points% gap / road-trip length all screened on 2008-20 moneyline, so no honest blind window (2007-08 no totals price, 2014-19 opens fake, 2025-26 no second totals origin). Past-provable NHL levers in current data: none named — next NHL session starts with /fresh-sports-idea-hunt nhl for an atom no 2008-10 family read. RSF + RPF (one family, 225 / 107 sealed, +5.87% / +5.48%, miss only proof p .157 / .257)

Biggest obstacle: 2008-20 is spent for every current idea; no free second close; T_HC_NEW needs positive Kalshi or Polymarket venue CLV on >= 100 forward bets

Closest: 4 Table 1 seats live (live /v51 read 2026-10-04 20:35Z, 0 unverified): t02109 UNDER (2012-18 proxy blind, 631 bets +3.52%), s2838, s5200, o0090 (back the away team when the home team's last game within 3 days went to overtime; 2008-19 proxy blind 673 bets +1.57% at the worse price; criterion 2 sealed 2 of 3, owner 2026-10-04 "Keep rule as written"; thin: sealed edge mostly 2024-25, increment over the 3-day parent p .137). 4 live seats lower NBA's priority (owner 2026-10-03). Blowout-rest killed 2026-10-05 (courtside 8022784; 252 rules, 0 families; blind 2008-19 / 2012-18 unread). Injury-report vs open: not provable today (ESPN opens carry no clock; no priced blind window with reports) — forward-blind only. Next: /fresh-sports-idea-hunt nba before the 10-20 opener.; 7 paper rules (5 fresh + AGREE/DEFENSE + t11073, a right-signed CLV one-miss: combined mean +0.83%, p .0545), blind 0/150 on the real-price forward arm (season opens 2026-10-20)

Biggest obstacle: No real past opening price for spread or total (2012-18 open total price is -110 on 97.8-99.9%); 2012-18 moneyline window spent; the totals search is noise-compatible against an efficient-close null (P .555); the cross-book open gap (ESPN open vs Action Network b30 open, totals + spreads, 48 rules, 2023-26) is killed 2026-10-03: 0 passers, engine B exact, the gap only predicts the close in ESPN BET's stale 2024-25 open (courtside-ai `docs/preregistration/nba-v51-open-gap.md`); next: venue-vs-book mid gap (forward only)

Closest: 1 Table 1 seat: Back Home Win Streak (seated 2026-10-04, guide v3.11.0, method 1 SBRO 2010-15: blind 165 +5.83%, seasons 5/6 strict); live=False until the MLB ticket intent is built (first item of the next MLB Opus session; next slate 2027-03-25)

Biggest obstacle: Frames repaired 2026-10-03 (384 Cleveland games had been missing from both engines 2018-20); 2018-20 seals pre-date the repair; no real opening price before 2018 except the one spent 2016 look